The Ukrainian Offensive is Likely On

Nadin Brzezinski
4 min readMay 9
Russian trophy somewhere along the line of contact

Second update on this, because it has important specifics. We have, at the very least, a local counter attack:

Andrey Biletsky spoke about the situation in the Bakhmut direction:

“As a result of the offensive operations of the 3rd Specialized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, units of the 72nd brigade of the Russian Federation were defeated, the 6th and 8th companies of this brigade were actually completely destroyed, brigade reconnaissance was defeated, a significant number of armored vehicles were destroyed, a significant number of prisoners were captured. The so-called “Third Assault the Wagner detachment “suffered heavy losses. Offensive operations were carried out in a strip 3 km wide and 2.6 km deep, the entire territory was completely liberated from the Russian occupation troops.”

Update, via the Kyiv Independent on Twitter:

Russian brigade flees Bakhmut.

Ukraine’s Third Assault Brigade confirmed on May 9 that the 72nd Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the Russian Armed Forces has fled Bakhmut.

Well, the parade is over, but operations never stopped on the line of contact. The first is regarding Wagner and Bakhmut, and in this, both sides agree. The first is a video with a translation via Twitter from Evgeny Prighozin. I must add this drama is getting good. And if the stakes were not so high, and people were not dying, it would almost be funny. So the translation is by Twitter user AlbaFella1:

And here is the promised full video from Prigozhin

▪️He declares that the MoD of the russian Federation did not provide the “Wagnerites” with ammunition. They now have only 10% of the requested.

▪️Also, the leader of the PMC “Wagner” says that one of the units of the Ministry of Defense of the russian Federation escaped from Bakhmut, leaving a 2-kilometer position 500 meters deep.

▪️He, of course, mentioned the counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, which “will not start on TV.” He claims that the Ukrainian military is “tearing the flanks” in the Bakhmut direction.

▪️ PMC “Wagner”, according to him, received a combat order that leaving the positions would be recognized as treason. However, he…

Nadin Brzezinski

Historian by training. Former day to day reporter. Sometimes a geek who enjoys a good miniatures game. You can find me at CounterSocial, Mastodon and rarely FB