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The Map of the Middle East Has Changed

7 min readJun 13, 2025

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Let me start with Lebanese media because what they write, while low-key, is highly significant. It is describing the new reality:

Israeli F-16(s) flying CAP missions over southern Syria. Likely drone hunting judging by their missile load.

Syria, thanks to the Syrian revolution the Israeli supremacy in the middle east is being guarantees for decades to come

This two-paragraph post tells you exactly what is going on. Israel has obtained air superiority over quite a bit of the region, and strategically, it is now in an enviable position. I am quoting Arab media because they are trying to tell you the obvious. Now, here is who has launched Combat Air Patrol, CAP, missions:

Now lets look at who is awaiting Israel to defend the country from an inevitable response:

Countries from which all the planes took off

1) Israel
2) USA
3) United Kingdom
4) Saudi Arabia
5) Qatar
6) Jordan
7) Turkey
8) United Arab Emirates

These are the countries that are now participating in the interception of missiles.

Yes, some of these also condemned Israel, see Saudi Arabia, for example. Yet, a weaker Iran helps the Saudis at a geopolitical level. These are the same countries, except Turkey, which took off last time. So now Turkey…

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Nadin Brzezinski
Nadin Brzezinski

Written by Nadin Brzezinski

Historian by training. Former day to day reporter. Sometimes a geek who enjoys a good miniatures game. You can find me at CounterSocial, Mastodon and rarely FB

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