Super Tuesday and the Democratic Race

We are going to wake up to a two-person race on Wednesday. There is no way around it. Reading state-level polls, not national, I can predict that Bernie Sanders will open a large lead, giving him momentum. At this point, I believe Sanders will reach the convention in the same situation as Hillary Clinton. He will have the plurality of delegates, without enough to avoid a brokered convention.

In 2016 Sanders saw the obvious and ended nominating Hillary Clinton on the floor. He worked like hell to get her elected, and Clinton thanked him for it. It was a moment of unity, and it is a good question if Democrats, especially the center-right of the party, will be able to do the same.

In my view, a status quo candidate is a recipe to another four years of Trumpism, especially if Bernie’s army perceives this to be a stolen election. Granted, a brokered convention is well within the playbook, but most people are not familiar with it, or how strange elections can get. The party will not unify if they perceive this as stolen and will likely stay home, and as I said in 2016, this will lead to the re-election of the President. Granted, less Sanders fans did that in 2016 than Clinton fans did in 2008, but Barack Obama still won due to turnout. So that became a footnote of interest to historians and political scientists. Also, people staid home who were not enthused…