It could be maskirovka, as to Girkin, it’s always about him. I suspect he knows a lot more and here is a hot rumor for ya…if he dies all of it comes out.

If the Federation breaks up, and it is in my bingo card, expect him to become a rather nasty warlord of a successor state. One with a huge chip.

However, the issues with logistics are becoming clear in things like the daily FIRMS data. So you can infer there are less shells for guns.