I have gone out of the way to explain this. And also the why. I hope we are both wrong, by the way.
NATO has 300,000 troops in Eastern Europe. They are also ready. The further west you go, the more of a surprise.
A few things people are going to be shocked. Like WW2 rationing is coming. As a nation, be good actually. We will be forced to be more mindful of stuff. But a war is not something we are ready for.
Hell, the counter offensive is going at the pace of the actual D-Day, or any other real world battle. People don’t get that either.