COVID 19 and You

First, just because there are no cases where you live, means nothing. We will have them. Second, the pattern is repeating. We may have had people in the wild who were infectious but not sick.

According to the Hill:

The infections concerned the first confirmed case in the U.S. on Jan. 20, which involved a man in his 30s, and another, involving a teenager, that was confirmed on Friday.

This means the virus likely was spreading in between, Trevor Bedford, an associated professor at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center and the University of Washington, said, according to the Times.

Bedford said it’s possible the two cases are unrelated but that it’s unlikely, as only two out of 59 sample sequences from China had the genetic variation found in both cases. More than 125 genomes from samples around the world have been analyzed by the scientists.

This also happened in China. And as we expand our testing, we will also find more cases. It is a given. So this means that where you live will get cases. The nature of our highly mobile society means that we have people who have been near people who are infectious and don’t know it. This is how this works.

The lethality level is still a guess. Partially because the argument remains. How many people with mild cases or asymptomatic are flying under the threshold of detection? This is hardly academic. According to STAT News, in their conclusions:

A case fatality rate of between 2% to 4%…