For the last few days, about a week, we have seen the armed forces of Ukraine get deeper and deeper. It is now official that they are at the Surovikin line and perhaps gotten through it:
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are advancing from Robotyne towards Novoprokopivka and Ocheretuvate, according to Oleksandr Shtupun, the spokesperson of the Tavriia Defense Forces
Yes, you probably saw some of this in the evening news. I wait until I see this information come from Ukraine. For balance, Moscow Calling, understandably, is a lot more conservative, but he concedes the advance:
More OSINT in Tokmak direction.
South-east of Rabotino, the Armed Forces of Ukraine advanced close to the “Surovikin Line” (or whose name, in connection with the arrest of the latter, is it now named?).
By the way, the maps are close enough to each other that I will stick to the Deep State Map. The difference is academic. Also, for OpSec reasons, we see the situation as it was, not as it is.
What is interesting is this report from the wild regarding prisoners of war:
In another crazy story, in the vicinity of Robotyne, 52 Russian soldiers beat the commander and surrendered with him to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. It all started with the mobs complaining about the lack of food and ammunition, after which things spiraled out of control.
This has significant knockdown effects. If this story is accurate and not crazy, it means troops have no morale to speak off, food or ammo; they tend to surrender. They first do it in ones and twos, then in tens, and it goes from there. We could see a local collapse of the line.
Whether this becomes a more significant collapse is a good question. Though we are hearing issues, through Russian sources, for a marine unit in Kherson:
The situation with the 205th brigade is developing as expected. Apparently, they will punish not those who allowed the creation of conditions for the failure to provide units with fire and communications, but those who decided to tell this situation, since other measures did not lead to a solution to the situation.
⭐️Due to the fact that even the public nature of…